Given that it was the year’s top-grossing film, became the only animated movie in history to surpass the $1 billion mark, and has already been bandied about as a possible Best Picture contender, Toy Story 3 would seem like a lock as this year’s Best Animated Feature come Oscar time, no? But here are its cautiously optimistic contenders anyway—15 in all, which is just one short of the minimum needed to have a five-nominee category, meaning there will only be two losers when Toy Story 3 walks away with the award. Perhaps were it any other year, Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore

Alpha and Omega
Cats & Dogs: The Revenge of Kitty Galore
Despicable Me
The Dreams of Jinsha
How to Train Your Dragon
Idiots and Angels
The Illusionist
Legend of the Guardians: The Owls of Ga’Hoole
My Dog Tulip
Shrek Forever After
Summer Wars
Tinker Bell and the Great Fairy Rescue
Toy Story 3

Official nominations will be announced on January 25.